Sunday, 16 September 2012

Amazon's Innovation Magic


Amazon’s Innovation Magic



9/28/2012
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade, New Delhi
Dr. R.K. Mitra, Kumail Fazal


International Conference

                           at

Global Innovation Forum

Tata Institute of Social Science

                                                                                                             28th September, 2012


Abstract
Amazon was founded by Jeff Bezos at a time when internet’s potential in business was obscure, web-based business was pre-paradigmatic, there was hardly any industry standard for internet security. When a product or innovation is in pre-paradigmatic stage, one cant have any meaningful scale which is essential for its commercial success. Many internet based start-ups rushed for early market verticalisation with web-driven services only to discover that they did not have requisite complementary assets to sustain the market vertical. Amazon, on the other hand, held the technology as a key platform and using that platform drove into retail market space with one category, namely ‘books’. It tightly held the ‘technology platform’ and kept on disrupting the business model one after another. 

Underpinning its business strategy that powers its unique business model of disruption, lies an astitutely designed ‘innovation magic’. 

This paper seeks to capture the innate nuances of Amazon’s innovation magic.

Key Words

Business Model, Disruption, Virtuous Cycles

The word ‘Amazon’, until recently, conjured up an image of a river, dense forest and perhaps giant Anacondas!  But then one man thought it otherwise, he went on to create a Retail Website company that would not have limitations that a  physical business has. The man in question is none other than Jeff Bezos. Before having his company name, he would gloss over dictionary and ended up with ‘Amazon’ as it starts with ‘A’, early in alphabetic order and also stands for a place ‘exotic and different’. In today’s business lexicon, Amazon is another name for ‘customer satisfaction’. It subsumes ‘confidence’ of widest range of products, the ‘trust’ of sharing personal information and the ‘belief’ of superior quality.

The rise of Amazon is phenomenal. Started with one category ‘books’ in a garage measuring 400 sq. ft in 1994, today, the company has 50 Fulfillment centers located on 26 million sq. ft. of space! It is still growing! Exhibit 1 shows its phenomenal growth trajectory over time. 

Exhibit 1: Growth of Amazon
Source: Read Write Web, Dan Frommer, Amazon Vs Best Buy: A Tale of Two Retailers, Apr 2012

Experience has shown that Internet hasn’t be very kind to business upfront.  A large number of startups have had web as the core of their business strategy but very few have survived the constant changing competitive arena of the web. Then how did Amazon just not survive but is giving the likes of Wal-Mart, Target, Best Buy to name a few, a run for their money? It has won so much space into the heart and mind of the consumers that it has left its competitors thoroughly bewildered as to the rule of game of the business. Mighty Wal-Mart is reviving its e-commerce platform trying to close sales both in-store or on the web, Target is providing its customers with certain exclusivity, Best Buy in the USA has been forced to close 41 of its Big Box stores and now concentrating on the smaller Mobile stores concept. So what really happened? How could these pioneers who till recently were leading are today faltering behind a company which does not have a physical presence of worth. What did Amazon did so differently and uniquely over the years? It is simply by disrupting retail landscape. 

Over the years, Amazon has disrupted one business model after another. A typical business model starts with a profit at its heart and run forward to catch the customer but Jeff Bezos built a model where he first starts with the customer and then run backward. It spends money on things that matter to customers and they (Amazon) call this as frugality and this leads them to drive innovation. It always is looking for simpler solutions to provide lower prices to its customer.

Bezos started a business in an era when Internet did have its own problems: no real time metrics, limited reach and speed.  Bezos conceived Amazon at a time when it had security issues. People were afraid of to share their credit card details with a third party over the internet. He carefully assessed the true advantages that the Internet would give and pushed them to their boundaries. It perfectly understood the time tested economics of retail and blended it with technology to create an offering with 

·        Lower prices

·        Large selection

·        More convenience 

Over the years, it followed a three way approach where in it “built” from time to time a new category(recent launches MyHabit), it “bought” well established incumbent or competitors(it bought out Zappos.com, Quidsi to name a few) and “partnered” with some verticals markets to offer its technology services and e-commerce expertise to third parties.

Amazon has a unique way of disrupting its own business model. In “Marketplace”, it allowed third-party sellers to sell and reference their products side-by-side with Amazon’s item. The world thought how can Amazon cannibalize its own sales? However today they stand corrected as it was a strategy to offer Long Tail products (products which are lesser in demand) at lower cost. 

Using methodology of choices and consequences as popularized by Ramon Casadesus – Masanell and Joan E Ricart of Harvard Business School, Amazon’s business model can be dissected into a number of virtuous cycles as at Exhibit 2.

 
Exhibit 2: Virtuous Cycles of Amazon’s Business Model
Virtuous Cycle 1

Virtuous Cycle 2
Virtuous Cycle 3

If one investigates a little more into the underpinning of business strategy of Amazon behind its imposing business model, one can discover an astitutely built and integrated innovation magic driving the business (Exhibit 3).
 
Exhibit 3: Amazon’s Innovation Magic

Rewriting Rule of the Game
Amazon has rewritten the rule of the game. While many firms are trying to use Web platforms successfully; very few made real money. Amazon stands out tall demonstrating what can be done and above all, how difficult at the same time real web commence success could be. Amazon is so embedded in the habits of customers that it is impossible to copy it. 

Amazon now accounts for more than 40 percent of online commerce transacted in the USA but its most impressive feat is its miniscule operating profit margin — just 2.47 percent for its most recent quarter. (Compare that to Google’s 33 percent Apple’s 31 percent, and Microsoft’s 39 percent.). Amazon forces a competitor to fight in the gutter over margins that are rounding errors for others. 

Amazon’s disrupting many industries and making everyone sit up and take notice as to how Amazon will affect their business.

Amazon Disrupts the Publishing Industry
Amazon is jumping headlong into the business of creating content because, more than any other company, it has the potent combination of a massive base of customers and the vast technical underpinning with which to bring those customers new ways of consuming books, movies, and television programs. Amazon's Kindle family of electronic reading devices gives it the ability to offer books in a way that hasn't been available before. Amazon Vine™ invites the most trusted reviewers on Amazon to post opinions about new and pre-release items to help their fellow customers make informed purchase decisions.

Amazon is trying to change the rules in Hollywood as well  
The Company is creating a new model for making movies and television programs, tapping its vast Web presence to crowdsource concepts. Anyone can upload a screenplay or television pilot script to the Amazon Studios Web site, where Amazon and the community it's developed weed out the weakest and refine the most commercial, before the company commits significant financial resources to production.

Amazon Disrupts the Brick & Mortar Stores “Showrroming”
The Price Check by AmazonApp is designed to let users compare prices with Amazon.com and its merchants when you are standing in front of a real product in a bricks and mortar store. Products are identified by scanning a barcode, taking a picture, speaking the product name or using text search, then compared to Amazon prices. One can then, of course, purchase the product online. 

Same day delivery
Same-day delivery has long been the holy grail of Internet retailers, something that dozens of startups have tried and failed to accomplish. But with Amazon one just cannot strike off anything. It may very well be possible that it invests billions to make next-day delivery standard, and same-day delivery an option for lots of customers. If it can pull that off, the company will permanently change the rules of the game.
In Jeff  Bezos Word “Customer experience includes having the lowest price, having the fastest delivery, having it reliable enough so that they don’t need to contact [anyone]. Then you save customer service for those truly unusual situations

Audacious Nexus 7 : Winner Take It All
At the time of finalizing this article, Amazon has shown that it treads the way nobody even thinks of.  It has announced a full size Tablet that is aimed at creating huge discomfort for Apple.  It released Nexus 7 electing a Tablet 2 inches smaller than iPad. Industry analysts believe that 7-inches will become the dominant size in years to come. The entry level price it kept $300 - $700, less than iPad equivalent,  according to Bezos, "…. We make money when people buy our devices".

Although Steve Job was not known for his liking for smaller size, but Jeff Bezos move has made Apple to think of small.  It is Amazon which is making apple to think of selling for less. Clearly Amazon is out to set industry standard – be it product or pricing strategy or even marketing strategy. Amazon is pushing Tablet into a market towards an industry structure akin to what is known as 'network industry', an industry where market value is proportionate to the value of products sold. Such market is also known as increasing returns and the first mover, as Amazon is trying to be, becomes 'winner take all' strategist. In all probability, it will go for all out effort to set standard of Tablet market in such a manner that it makes a delicate balance of its narrow self-interests and industry interests.

Invisible Curves Matter
Paul Nunes and Tim Breene (HBR, 2011)on the basis of their decade long research found that high performance companies go beyond usual financial curve. They popularized the concept of three  invisible curves
-         the hidden competition curve

-         the hidden capability curve

-         the hidden talent curve

While the competition curve tracks basis of competition, capability curve tracks the end of capability much before capabilities tend to dry up.  The talent curve traces lessening of talent in the organization and nurturing a steady supply of talent into the organization.

Amazon have always looked beyond financial curve and very successfully ushered in successive industry – leading businesses in most of its endeavours.

References
1.      How to Design a Winning Business Model, Ramon Casadesus – Masanell and Joan E Ricart, Harvard Business Review, January-February, 2011

2.      Re-invent Your Business Before It's Too Late, Paul Nunes and Tim Breene, Harvard Business Reviewed, Jan – Fab, 2011. 

3.      Amazon and the tablet market's 7/10 split, appeared in The Financial Express, September 8, 2012.

4.      Read Write Web, History of Amazon




About the Authors:
Dr. R K Mitra is currently the Registrar of the Indian Institute of Foreign Trade, New Delhi, a premier business and educational research Institute (Deemed University). Apart from a First Class First Post-graduate in Economics, he did his MBA from Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Delhi. He also did his Ph.D from IIT, Delhi in e-Governance. He has many publications both in national and international journals. His research interests extend from e-Business/e-Governance to Strategy. He currently teaches ‘Strategic Management’, ‘Competitive Strategy’ and Indian Economy & Trade Policy at IIFT. As Adjunct Faculty at ABV-IIITM, Gwalior, he teaches International Business and e-Governance to the MBA students of the Institute.
Mr. Kumail Fazal is BE (Electronics) and MBA(IB) of IIFT. He is currently in a business consulting firm. His research interests include studying business models of innovative companies.

Monday, 23 July 2012

From Non-Customer to Customer: The Blue Ocean Logic for Indian Business


W. Chan Kim and Renee Mauborgne in their Blue Ocean Strategy, amongst others, advised the business organizations, if they wish to create blue oceans for themselves, to reach beyond existing demand. The authors spoke about three tiers of ‘non-customers’, who differ in their relative distance from the market for a business organization. Of three tiers of ‘non-customers’, the third category is such that their needs and associated business opportunities are never thought of as potential customers as firms believe that they belong to some ‘other markets’. In the absence of any serious investigation, as to what these ‘other markets’ are and their possible location, these ‘non-customers’ always remain so with little or no chance of turning into real customers.

To illustrate their point, Kim and Renee gave a business example of tooth whitening. ‘Tooth whitening’ was never looked as a market to oral care consumer product companies as they believed it to belong to dentists. There could be more such examples. However, in India, there always  existed a sizeable community of ‘non-customers’ whom Indian business incorporation never targeted as a class of customers, not because this class was assumed to belong to other markets but because they were never taken as someone whom Indian business firms ever believed to quality as ‘customers’ in business sense: their ability to pay for was a constant suspect and hence they were treated as ‘non-customers ever’. The needs of these ‘non-customers ever’ were left to the Govt. to consider and provide for.

New Awakening
The attitude of Indian business, of late, is clearly moving from the traditional concept of ‘customers’ to a more flat concept. More and more ‘non-customers’ are being added as ‘targets’. Following caselets would explain and validate such a trend on the part of Indian business organizations.

Case I: Health Care in India
Health care services in India, due to historical reasons, were largely responsibility of the Govt. The Govt. in India (Both Federal and States) set up ‘hospitals’ as instruments to provide health care services at subsidised prices. District Hospitals are common in all Districts in India. Sub-divisions and even Municipal/Panchayat areas have govt. health centres. Growth of private health care services is not very ancient. Metropolitan cities of Indian witnessed, limited though, growth of health care services as business vertical in private sector and the trend soon percolated down to urban/semi-urban cities and towns which saw the rise and flourish of private nursing homes/centres. The Government has decided to increase health expenditure to 2.5 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP) by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan (2012-17), from the current 1.4 per cent.  Currently it accounts to close to 16-20% of the total Healthcare spend. Governments spend on schemes like ‘National Rural Health Mission ‘(NHRM) is suppose to increase from US $ 3.6 Billion in 2011-12 to US $ 4.13 Billion. Government is also launching ‘Urban Health Mission’ and ‘Pradhan Mantri Swasthya Suraksha Yojana’ is being expanded.

In accordance to per capita income Indian government spends $43 per head, counterparts in Sri Lanka invest double that amount at $87, China over three times at $155 and Thailand over six times at $261.(Source : Financial Express).

Notwithstanding above developments, bed to population ratio is still short in India, with an additional requirement of 1.1 million hospital beds. The country has an additional requirement of 0.8 million doctors and 1.7 million nurses, apart from facing a significant shortage of paramedics. 45 per cent of the population travels more than 100 km to access tertiary level of medical care. Poor accessibility, accountability, affordability, and availability of healthcare services are key constraints that make the idea of ‘Health for all’ a seemingly impossible accomplishment.

Apollo: the Trend Setter
Dr. Pratap Reddy, a pioneer in corporatisation of health care services set up his chain of hospitals, known as Apollo Hospitals, in 1979. With 43 hospitals, the chain, operates 7,000 beds2. Apollo was also pioneer in conceiving a chain of national pharmacy.

Local health care is now seeking to target a large number of hitherto ‘non-customers’. Dr. Pratap Reddy is now spearheading a chain of clinics in a bid to take health-care from hospital to clinics. Apollo is already running clinics for dental and diabets –more as up-market niche (approximately 73 clinics as on date). Although Dr. Pratap Reddy encapsulates the Group’s strategy as a “vision to take health care services from hospitals to clinics and then to doorsteps of people,” in hindsight it is an astitute move to embrace a retail format to tap a vast segment of underserved market (non-customers) Retail format by hospitals is a much celebrated business model globally. It is observed that these clinics gradually operate more as ‘downstreams’ which slowly turns into reliable ‘sources’ for ‘upstreams’ hospitals by way of dispatching ‘referrals’ to them

Whether not this clinic model of Apollo will finally sail through would depend on its ability to gain access to vantage locations for its clinics and qualified doctors, one thing is certain: Apollo is certainly following BOS logic: Looking Beyond Existing Demand.

Case II: Solar Energy
Around 400 million people across India still do not have access to reliable electricity and an estimated 100,000 villages in the country are yet to be connected to the national power grid, according to a World Bank report. Millions of rural Indians use tin lamps fuelled by kerosene to provide light after it gets dark.

Selco (Solar Electric Light Company): A Little More Energy
Selco (Solar Electric Light Company) a social entrepreneur start up is trying to redefine energy solutions for a vast multitude of population. It develops sustainable energy solutions and services to underserved households and businesses.

The solar lamp, which is one such solution, can last for nine hours after charging. It is sponsored by the schools, donors or government as part of Selco's light for education project. "The beauty of this project is the use of technology to promote education," said Arjun Menda. Menda, an alumnus of IIT Kharagpur and the Chairman of RMZ Corp, a real estate developer, is one of the advocates of Selco's light for education project.

Selco roped in US-based Applied Materials, the world's largest producer of chip making equipment, to electrify about 1000 village households and several rural schools across Karnataka using solar energy.

The Applied Materials Foundation, an arm of the $10.5-billion global semiconductor firm, will provide $170,000 towards the upfront cost of photovoltaic cells, solar panels and allied equipment for the pilot project. Selco will install the solar lighting systems and maintain them through its 28 branch offices. “It is a massive opportunity," said Aninda Moitra, president of Applied Materials India. Moitra which hopes to do more such engagements with entrepreneurs and replicate the model in other countries based on the outcome.

On completion of the project, the solar lighting system will generate energy to provide four to eight hours of electricity to about 10,000 people dwelling in 1,000 rural homes.

Selco’s endeavour is yet an example how business in India is increasingly engaging itself in redefining their customers.

Advantage: India
One often hears the Chief Executive Officers (CEOs) of multi-national companies describing India has emerging market. The obvious reference is to the vast market of India. Many multi-national companies have committed investment to cater to India’s emerging market. However, between a multi-national and an Indian company, the balance of competition tilts towards Indian companies as being Indian, Indian companies understand the domestic market and its constituent customers’ requirement very well. Besides, Indian companies enjoy certain resource advantage in terms of superior knowledge of all segments of Indian customers and their market behaviour, their choices and preference, price sensitivity, distribution nuances etc. and hence Indian companies can leverage this advantages to create Blue Ocean better and faster than the multi-national companies so far as India is concerned. All that is required is to re-write the definition of ‘customer’ in their business lexicon. One way to do this is what Paul Nuns and Tim Breene have described as edge-centric strategy: to focus on the edge of the market and bring ‘the edge’ at the centre of their strategy.


References
1.                  Blue Ocean Strategy, W. Chan Kim and Renee Mauborgne, HBS Press (ISBN: 1-59139-619-0)
2.                  Apollo’s mission to serve the masses, TE Narasimhan and Girish Batra, Business Staward, 4th April, 2012 (New Delhi)
3.                  Solar Entrepreneurs Taps Rural Schools and Homes, Peerzada Abrar, Economic Times, 16th December, 2011.
4.                  Paul Nuns and Tim Breene, What is Clearly Broken in a Company, HBR, Jan-Feb., 2011